[1]

World Bank. 2014. Transport for health: The Global Burden of Disease from Motorized Road Transport. The World Bank. 39 pp

[2]

World Health Organization (WHO). 2015. Global Status Report on Road Safety 2015. Geneva. 340 pp

[3]

World Health Organization (WHO). 2009. Global Status Report on Road Safety: Time for Action. Geneva. ix+301 pp

[4]

Yannis G, Papadimitriou E, Folla K. 2014. Effect of GDP changes on road traffic fatalities. Safety Science 63:42−49

doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2013.10.017
[5]

Christens PF, 2003. Statistical modeling of traffic safety development. PhD Thesis. Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark. 108 pp

[6]

Bolduc D, Bonin S, Lee-Gosselin M. 1993. Un outil méthodologique désagrégé pour l’évaluation de politiques en sécurité routière. Rapport de recherche Groupe de Recherche Interdisciplinaire Mobilité Et Sécurité (GRIMES), Université Laval, Québec. 47 pp

[7]

Bolduc D, Bonin S, Lee-Gosselin M. 1994. Un outil méthodologique désagrégé pour l’évaluation de politiques en sécurité routière. Cahier 9407, Groupe de Recherche en Économie de l'Énergie et des Ressources Naturelles (GREEN), Département d'économique, Université Laval, Québec. 59 pp

[8]

Bolduc D, Bonin S, Lee-Gosselin M. 2013. A disaggregated tool for evaluation of road safety policies. Research in Transportation Economics 37:79−98

doi: 10.1016/j.retrec.2011.08.009
[9]

Weber DC. 1970a. A Stochastic Model for Automobile Accident Experience. Mimeograph Series No. 651. Institute of Statistics, North Carolina State University at Raleigh.

[10]

Weber DC. 1970b. A stochastic approach to automobile compensation. Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society 57(107−108):27−60

[11]

Weber DC. 1971. Accident rate potential: An application of multiple regression analysis of a poisson process. Journal of the American Statistical Association 66(334):285−88

doi: 10.1080/01621459.1971.10482255
[12]

Weber DC. 1972. An analysis of the California driver record study in the context of a classical accident model. Accident Analysis and Prevention 4:109−16

doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(72)90002-4
[13]

Smeed RJ. 1949. Some statistical aspects of road safety research. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (General) 112(1):1−34

doi: 10.2307/2984177
[14]

Smeed RJ. 1968. Variations in the pattern of accident rates in various countries and their causes. Traffic Engineering & Control 10(7):364−71

[15]

Smeed RJ, Jeffcoate GO. 1969. Conséquences de l’évolution de la motorisation de divers pays sur le nombre de décès sur route. Recherche routière. Compte rendu du Symposium sur l’utilisation des Méthodes statistiques dans l'analyse des accidents de la route, tenu au Road Research Laboratory, Crowthorne, Royaume-Uni, 14−16 avril 1969.

[16]

Smeed RJ, Jeffcoate GO. 1970. Effects of changes in motorisation in various countries on the number of road fatalities. Traffic Engineering & Control 12:150−51

[17]

Peltzman S. 1975. The effects of automobile safety regulation. Journal of Political Economy 83(4):677−725

doi: 10.1086/260352
[18]

Zlatoper TJ. 1989. Models explaining motor vehicle death rates in the United States. Accident Analysis and Prevention 21(2):125−54

doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(89)90082-1
[19]

Gaudry M, Gelgoot S. 2002. The International Mystery of Peaking Yearly Road Fatalities in 1972−1973. Publication AJD-8. Report. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal

[20]

Stipdonk HL. 2013. Road Safety in Bits and Pieces. For a better understanding of the development of the number of road fatalities. PhD Thesis. Technical University of Delft, Netherlands. 219 pp

[21]

Oppe S. 1991. The development of traffic and traffic safety in six developed countries. Accident analysis and Prevention 23(5):401−12

doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(91)90059-E
[22]

Koornstra MJ. 1992. The evolution of road safety and mobility. IATSS Research 16(2):129−48

[23]

Kopits E, Cropper M. 2008. Why have traffic fatalities declined in industrialised countries? Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 42(1):129−54

[24]

Gaudry MJI. 2018. Explanatory analysis of national road fatalities multiplicatively decomposed into chained transport intensity measures for France from 1845 to 2005. Publication AJD-159. Report. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal, 16 pp.

[25]

Department for Transport (DfT). 2009. Reported Road Casualties Great Britain 2009. Annual Report. Department for Transport, Scottish Government, Welsh Assembly Government, London, The Stationary Office. 208 pp

[26]

Lawton B, Fordham C. 2016. Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of Britain's road safety performance. Published Project Report PPR796. Transport Research Laboratory, Wokingham, United Kingdom. 68 pp

[27]

ITF/OCDE/JTRC. 2008. Toward Zero Road Deaths: Ambitious Targets and a Safe System Approach. Report. Working Group on Ambitious Road Safety Targets Final Report. 193 pp.

[28]

International Transport Forum (ITF). 2017. Benchmarking road safety in Latin America. Paris: OECD Publishing. 222 pp. https://doi.org/10.1787/530f11da-en

[29]

Fournier F, Simard R. 2000. The DRAG-2 model for Quebec. In Structural Road Accident Models: The International DRAG Family, eds. Gaudry M, Lassarre S. Oxford: Elsevier Science. pp. 37−66.

[30]

Gaudry M, Lassarre S (eds). 2000. Structural Road Accident Models: The International DRAG Family. Oxford: Elsevier Science. 347 pp

[31]

Gaudry M, 1984. DRAG, un modèle de la Demande Routière, des Accidents et de leur Gravité, appliqué au Québec de 1956 à 1982. Publication CRT-359. Canada: Centre de recherche sur les transports, et Cahier #8432, Département de sciences économiques, Université de Montréal. 223 pp

[32]

Gaudry M. 2002. DRAG-1, a model of the Demand for Road use, Accidents and their Severity, applied to Quebec from 1956 to 1982. Publication AJD-17. Canada: Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal. 217 pp.

[33]

Gaudry M, Blum U. 1993. Une présentation brève du modèle SNUS-1. In Modélisation de l'Insécurité Routière, eds. Carré JR, Lassarre S, Ramos M. Vol 1. Institut National de Recherche sur les Transports et Leur Sécurité (INRETS), Arcueil, France. pp. 37−43.

[34]

Blum U, Gaudry M. 2000. The SNUS-2.5 model for Germany. In Structural Road Accident Models: The International DRAG Family, eds. Gaudry M, Lassarre S. Oxford: Elsevier Science. pp. 67−96.

[35]

Jaeger L. 1997. L’évaluation du risque dans le système des transports routiers par le développement du modèle TAG. Thèse de Doctorat de Sciences Économiques. Faculté des Sciences Économiques et de Gestion, Université Louis Pasteur, Strasbourg.

[36]

Jaeger L. 1999. L’évaluation du risque dans le système des transports routiers par le développement du modèle TAG. Thèse de doctorat soutenue à l'Université Louis Pasteur, Strasbourg, en décembre 1998. Publication AJD-32, Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal, 365 p.

[37]

Jaeger L, Lassarre S. 2000. The TAG-1 model for France. In Structural Road Accident Models: The International DRAG Family, eds. Gaudry M, Lassarre S. Oxford: Elsevier Science. pp. 157−84.

[38]

Spanos A. 1987. Error Autocorrelation Revisited: The AR(1) Case. Econometric Reviews 6(2):285−94

doi: 10.1080/07474938708800137
[39]

Got C, Delhomme P, Lassarre S. 2007. La mortalité routière en France peut encore reculer. Population et Sociétés 434:1−4

doi: 10.3917/popsoc.434.0001
[40]

Adams JGU. 1985a. Risk and Freedom. Transport Publishing Projects. Nottingham: The Bottesford Press

[41]

Adams JGU. 1985b. Smeed's law, seat belts, and the emperor's new clothes. In Human Behavior and Traffic Safety, eds. Evans L, Schwing RC. New York: Plenum Press. pp. 193−248

[42]

Fournier F, Simard R. 1997. Mise à jour du modèle économétrique DRAG-2: Application au kilométrage, aux accidents, à leur gravité et aux victimes de la route. Canada: Société de l'assurance automobile du Québec. 440 pp

[43]

Fournier F, Simard R. 1999. Modèle économétrique DRAG-2: Prévisions sur le kilométrage, le nombre d’accidents et de victimes pour la période 1997−2004. Canada: Société de l'assurance automobile du Québec, 300 pp

[44]

Marchetti C. 1994. Anthropological Invariants in Travel Behavior. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 47:75−88

doi: 10.1016/0040-1625(94)90041-8
[45]

Gaudry MJI. 2018. Explanatory analysis of national road fatalities multiplicatively decomposed into chained transport intensity measures for France from 1845 to 2005. Publication AJD-159. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal. 16 pp

[46]

Gordon RF. 2016. The Rise and Fall of American Growth. USA: Princeton University Press. 764 pp.

[47]

Gaudry M. 1997. Some Perspective on the DRAG Approach and Family of National Road Safety Models. Publication CRT-98-07. Centre de recherche sur les transports (CRT), Université de Montréal. Working Paper N° 9808, Bureau d'économie théorique et appliquée (BETA), Université Louis Pasteur, Strasbourg.

[48]

Gaudry M. 2000. Some perspective on the DRAG approach and family of National Road Safety Models. Third International Conference, Transportation, Traffic Safety and HealthPrevention and Health, Washington, D.C., 1997. Heidelberg: Springer Verlag. pp. 123−68. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-57246-3_13

[49]

Stipdonk HL. 2007. The story of the Matterhorn: 55 years of traffic safety in the Netherlands. The Second European Workshop on Modelling National or Regional Road Safety Performance of the NERDS-RSVP research network. Institut National de Recherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité (INRETS), Arcueil, France.

[50]

Gaudry M, Clément A, Gelgoot S, Noury Y, Weiske A. 2002. MAYNARD-DRAG, Version 3.0: Merged Aggregate Yearly National Accident and Road Data for DRAG-type Research. Publication AJD-7. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal. 443 pp

[51]

Gaudry M. 2014. National Road Fatality Maxima: Why the 1972 Cluster? Securitas Vialis 6(1-3):47−55

[52]

Fang B, Han X. 2000. Relating Transportation to GDP: Concepts, Measures, and Data. Publication AJD-41. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal. 22 pp

[53]

Georges Y. 2001. Les enseignements des accidents de la route: remèdes humains et techniques. La Jaune et la Rouge 561:00

[54]

Cohen S, Duval H, Lassarre S, Orfeuil JP. 1998. Limitations de vitesse, les décisions publiques et leurs effets. Editions Hermès. Paris. pp. 69.

[55]

Gaudry M, Lapparent M de. 2013. National road safety performance: data, the emergence of two single-outcome modelling streams and public health. Research in Transportation Economics 37(1):6−19

doi: 10.1016/j.retrec.2012.02.001
[56]

Bouthoul G. 1970. L’Infanticide Différé. Paris: Hachette

[57]

Heinsohn G. 2003. Sons and Imperial Power: Terror and the Rise and Fall of Nations. Zurich: Orell Füssl.

[58]

Heinsohn G. 2008. Exploding population. The International Herald Tribune.

[59]

Potts IB, Harwood DW, Fees CA, Bauer KM, Kinzel CS. 2015. Further development of the safety and congestion relationship for urban freeways. SHRP 2 Report S2-L07-RR-3. Strategic Highway Research Program, Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C., 34 pp. https://doi.org/10.17226/22283

[60]

Fridstrøm L, Ingebrigtsen S. 1991. An aggregate accident model based on pooled, regional time-series data. Accident Analysis and Prevention 23:363−78

doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(91)90057-C
[61]

Fridstrøm L. 1997. TRULS: an Econometric Model of Road Use, Accidents and their Severity. Oslo, Norway: Institute of Transport Economics

[62]

Fridstrøm L. 1999. Econometric Models of Road Use, Accidents, and Road Investment Decisions. Report 457 292. Institute of Transport Economics, Norwegian Centre for Transport Research, TÖI, Oslo. Thesis defended at the University of Oslo.

[63]

Brüde U, Elvik R. 2015. The turning point in the number of traffic fatalities: Two hypotheses about changes in underlying trends. Accident Analysis and Prevention 74:60−68

doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2014.10.004
[64]

Oppe S. 1989. Macroscopic models for traffic and traffic safety. Accident analysis and Prevention 21(3):225−32

doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(89)90013-4
[65]

Orselli J. 2004. L'évolution de la sécurité routière en France de 1954 à 2003 (not published). Congrès international de l'ATEC, Issy-les-Moulineaux, 28 janvier 2004. 21 pp.

[66]

Gaudry M, Blum U, Liem T. 2000. Turning box-cox, including quadratic forms in regression. In Structural Road Accident Models: The International DRAG Family, eds. Gaudry M, Lassarre S. Oxford: Pergamon, Elsevier Science. pp.335−46.

[67]

Kopits E, Cropper M. 2005. Traffic fatalities and economic growth. Accident Analysis and Prevention 37:169−78

doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2004.04.006
[68]

Bougueroua M, Carnis L. 2018. Insécurité routière et développement économique: analyse du cas algérien. Recherche Transports Sécurité. 13 pp

[69]

Sivak M. 2014. Has motorization in the US peaked? Relationship between road transportation and economic activity. UMTRI-2014-36. USA: University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute. 8 pp

[70]

Grübler A. 1990. The Rise and Decline of Infrastructures. Dynamics of Evolution and Technological Change in Transport. PhD Thesis. Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg, Germany.

[71]

Austin B, Glaeser E, Summers LH. 2018. Saving the heartland: Place-based policies in 21st century America. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, BPEA Conference drafts, 96 pp.

[72]

Page Y. 2001. A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries. Accident Analysis and Prevention 33:371−85

doi: 10.1016/S0001-4575(00)00051-8
[73]

Page Y. 1997. La mortalité routière dans les pays de l'OCDE. Les Cahiers de l’Observatoire 3:67−122

[74]

Zlatoper TJ. 1984. Analyzing cross-sectional motor vehicle death rates: The issue of functional form. Fifteenth Annual Pittsburg Conference on Modeling and Simulation, Part I: Geography-Regional Science. Research Triangle Park, NC: Instrument Society of America. pp. 523−27.

[75]

Zlatoper TJ. 1984. Regression analysis of time-series data on motor vehicle deaths in the United States. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 18:263−74

[76]

Liem TC, Dagenais M, Gaudry M. 1993. LEVEL: The L-1.4 program for BC-GAUHESEQ regression — Box-Cox Generalized AUtoregressive HEteroskedastic Single EQuation models. Publication CRT-510. Centre de recherche sur les transports, Université de Montréal. 41 pp

[77]

Babin A, Dagenais M, Florian M, Gaudry M, Guélat J, et al. 1986. TRIO, an Interactive Graphic System for Demand Model Estimation. Proceedings of the World Conference on Transport Research, The Centre for Transportation Studies, University of British Columbia, Vancouver. pp. 1690−704.

[78]

Schlesselman J. 1971. Power families: a note on the Box and Cox transformation. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 33:307−11

doi: 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1971.tb00882.x
[79]

Gaudry M, Dagenais M. 1979. Heteroscedasticity and the Use of Box-Cox Transformations. Economics Letters 2(3):225−29

doi: 10.1016/0165-1765(79)90026-0
[80]

Spitzer JJ. 1984. Variance estimates in models with the Box-Cox transformation: Implications for Estimation and hypothesis testing. The Review of Economics and Statistics 66:645−52

doi: 10.2307/1935988
[81]

Berndt, EK, Hall BH, Hall RE, Hausman JA. 1974. Estimation and Inference in Nonlinear Structural Models. Annals of Economic and Social Measurement 3:653−65

[82]

Dagenais MG, Dufour JM. 1994. Pitfalls of rescaling regression models with Box-Cox transformations. The Review of Economics and Statistics 76(3):571−75

doi: 10.2307/2109981
[83]

Kouider E, Chen H. 1995. Concavity of Box-Cox log-likelihood function. Statistics and Probability Letters 25:171−75

doi: 10.1016/0167-7152(94)00219-X
[84]

Belsley D, Kuh E, Welsh RE. 1980. Regression Diagnostics. New York: John Wiley

[85]

Erkel-Rousse H. 1995. Détection de la multicolinéarité dans un modèle linéaire ordinaire: Quelques éléments pour un usage averti des indicateurs de Belsley, Kuh et Welsch. Revue de Statistique Appliquée 43(4):19−42

[86]

Rosett RN, Nelson FD. 1975. Estimation of the two-limit probit regression model. Econometrica 43:141−6

doi: 10.2307/1913419
[87]

Dagenais MG, Gaudry MJI, Liem TC. 1987. Urban travel demand: the impact of Box-Cox transformations with nonspherical residual errors. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 21(6):443−77

doi: 10.1016/0191-2615(87)90041-5
[88]

Crandall RW, Graham JD. 1984. Automobile safety regulation and offsetting behavior: Some new empirical estimates. American Economic Review 74(2):328−31

[89]

U. S. Department of Commerce (US DOC). 1975. Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970. Volume 1 and 2. Bureau of the Census, Washington D.C.

[90]

U. S. Department of Commerce (US DOC). 1989. Statistical Abstract of the United States to 1989. 109th Editions. Bureau of the Census, Washington D.C.

[91]

Freeman JB. 2018. Behemoth. New York: W. W. Norton & Company. 427 pp.

[92]

Kuznets S. 1955. Economic growth and incomes inequality. The American Economic Review 45(1):1−28

[93]

Gaudry M. 2017. National transport policy prospects and consequent transport modelling challenge pros and cons. Communication presented at the Scandinavian workshop on large scale traffic models, Copenhagen. 20 pp.

[94]

Gaudry M. 2017. External review of the Danish Landstrafikmodel LTM 3.0 project. Publication AJD-175. Agora Jules Dupuit, Université de Montréal. 49 pp

[95]

Abraham C. 2014. Thickening clouds over the Matterhorn. Transports 484:64−66